Fallacies of “no cost is too high” model for fighting terrorism

Love this blurb by Nate Silver on how our over reaction to these botched terrorist attempts increase their value to those who commit them –

no cost is too high, they say, to prevent the next 9/11. But if history is any guide, the next attack will probably not be like 9/11—it will be like NWA 253, something which threatens the lives of dozens or hundreds of people, not thousands. To the extent we overreact to these incidents—allowing them to disrupt our economy and our way of life—we do little but increase the value to terrorists of committing them.

Full article here, Nate’s website here.

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